Texas Hold'em Outs Chart: Every Common Draw and Its Real Odds
This is a reference, not a lesson — a straightforward chart of the draws you'll see most often at the table, how many outs each one has, and the actual odds of completing it. Bookmark it, or better, use it as a starting point for building the same numbers into instinct.
The core outs chart
| Draw | Outs | Odds by river (2 cards) | Odds by next card (1 card) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flush draw | 9 | ~35% | ~19% |
| Open-ended straight draw | 8 | ~32% | ~17% |
| Gutshot straight draw | 4 | ~17% | ~9% |
| Two overcards | 6 | ~24% | ~12% |
| Pair to trips/quads (set draw) | 2 | ~8% | ~4% |
| Flush draw + open-ended straight (combo draw) | 15 | ~54% | ~33% |
| One overcard + gutshot | 7 | ~28% | ~15% |
| Backdoor flush draw (runner-runner) | 9 (needs both) | ~4% | — |
These numbers use the standard "rule of 4 and 2" approximation (outs × 4 with two cards to come, outs × 2 with one card to come) — close enough for real decisions, though the true probabilities are slightly lower than the simple multiplication suggests, especially with higher out counts.
Why the "two cards to come" and "one card" columns differ so much
The odds on the flop (two cards still to come) are meaningfully better than the odds on the turn (only the river left) because you get two independent chances to hit instead of one. This is the single most common source of confusion for newer players: a draw that looks strong on the flop can feel like it "fell off a cliff" by the turn, and that's expected — you've simply used up one of your two cards.
Reading the chart correctly
A few things worth being explicit about:
- These are approximations, not exact probabilities — the rule of 4/2 shortcut is designed for speed, and the real numbers are a few percentage points lower at higher out counts.
- Outs assume "clean" cards — cards that both complete your hand and don't simultaneously improve an opponent's. On coordinated boards, some of your outs may not actually be clean, which lowers your real equity below the chart number.
- Combo draws stack, but not always in the simple additive way they appear to — a flush draw plus a straight draw shares some overlap in edge cases, so 15 is close but not always exact.
Turning a chart into instinct
A chart like this is genuinely useful to have memorized, but memorizing it and being able to apply it in three seconds under pressure are different skills. Poker Master's Instinct Mode is built around exactly that gap — real hands, your own on-the-spot equity estimate, and immediate feedback on how close you were, so these numbers stop being something you look up and start being something you just know. Everything runs on free in-app chips, whether you're training solo or playing chip-based Duels, Tournaments, or Casino mode — never real money.
Turn this chart into instinct at Poker Master.
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